shots

English Premier League

Proof that Giroud is NOT good enough for Arsenal

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The Myth that Giroud has good stats by Gameruk Okay, Arsenal fans, thing I hear a lot from those pro-Giroud fans is that if you compare his stats to other strikers in the league then it shows him to be a very good striker. Well I'm hear to put that myth to bed. If you're [...]

Arsenal MUST improve their shot ratio

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Any Gooner who watched Arsenal struggle against 10 man Fulham at Craven Cottage may be surprised at the staistics, especially the one that shows that the Gunners registered an astonishing 90 percent pass success rate, with 84 percent of their final third passes finding the target as well. Arsenal also made nearly three times as many passes as Fulham in the game.

Everton and Fulham, Quo Vadis? Data From This Season

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On this side of the Atlantic, the football news that received quite a bit of attention over past few days was Friday's FA Cup tie between Everton and Fulham, featuring Clint "Hat Trick" Dempsey, Landon Donovan, and Tim Howard. Everton won, and as SI.com put it,
Landon Donovan etched his name further into Everton lore with two assists in the Toffees' FA Cup victory over Fulham.

Zero Sum Games: Some Pictures of Shot and Goal Differentials in the Premier League This Season

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Football's a simple game. If you score more or concede less than the other side, you win the match. So I thought it would be worth taking a look at which teams have been doing better than their opponents. The simplest way of doing just that is to calculate differentials for the stuff that matters most - goals - and the stuff without which - shots - the stuff that matters most usually doesn't happen.

Manchester City's Offensive Production: A PS

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Here's a short PS to my earlier post about Manchester City's offensive performance so far this season. It provides a summary of shot creation and finishing for the first and second 10 weeks of the season. Dots mark the club's performance in an individual match. The number next to the dot indicates the week.

What's Ailing Arsenal? Diagnosing the Gunners' (Offensive) Weakness With Data

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Arsenal have had a most unusual season of highs and lows. After a rough start to the campaign, the ship seems to have steadied. Robin van Persie is on pace for a record setting season; his 19 goals so far are only one less than last year's 20 scored by Golden Boot winners Carlos Tevez and Dimitar Berbatov.

Manchester City's Goal Machine: Coming Back Down To Earth?

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When Manchester City dispatched Manchester United in commanding fashion earlier this season, the City steamroller was powerful, efficient, and impressive. It looked downright unstoppable. As Kevin McCarra noted the day of City's 6-1 trouncing of United in The Guardian, "For the football world at large, it is more significant still that City have 33 goals from nine league games.

Goal Trends In The Premier League This Season: The Inverted U of the First Half of the 2011/12 Season

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With the pressure and excitement of each and every week's matches, it's sometimes easy to lose the overall plot of how a season has evolved in the league as a whole. Since we are just past the halfway point of the season, I thought I'd take a look at a couple of trends in teams' output in the Premier League this season.

Transfer Window Benchmarking: Offensive Performance in the Premier League

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Now that the transfer window is open, I thought it was time to take a quick look at how Premier League clubs have been performing on various dimensions. Let's start with offense for today. Which clubs have been doing exceptionally well, and which ones seem to need some help, perhaps by finding a player or two?

Where Do Shots Go To Die? The Premier League in 2010/11

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Blocked shots don't typically make the highlight reel. Of course, they don't, you might say - they're a non-event. Well, they are, and they aren't. They're an event that wasn't of much consequence in the scheme of things. But they are still "events" in the way that that the good folks at companies like Opta think about them.

Defensive Performance in the Top 4 European Football Leagues: A Statistical Review of the 2010/11 Season

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Despite what Cesar Luis Menotti may want you to believe, football is a game of offense and defense. So as a follow up to my recent post on last season's offensive performance in the big leagues, I thought it was only fair to defenders and goalkeepers to take a look at who has been doing a great job keeping the opposition at bay.

Shot Distance "Leaders" in the EPL: 2010/11 Data

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If you're a regular reader of this blog, you probably think I've gone overboard with my Wigan obsession of late. And you're probably right. But I just can't resist the temptation to show one more picture of Wigan's inability (or unwillingness) to get anywhere near their opponents' goal. Courtesy of Albert Lacarda of ESPN's Stats & Information Group, here is a picture of average shot distance (sans penalties) for the entire 2010/11 season.

The Uselessness of Free Kicks in the Premier League

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If you've been reading this blog these last few weeks, you know that I've been spending way too much time digging through data on shot creation in the Premier League with the help of the Opta/Guardian chalkboards. But I can't quite help myself, so here's yet another installment; this time it's on the (relative) uselessness of free kicks.

Which Shots Are Most Efficient? Creating Goals From Different Kinds of Shots in the EPL

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A few days ago, I took a look at the origins of goals in the first half of this year's Premier League season to see what we can learn about the connection between different match situations (defined as open play, corners, fast breaks, penalties, and free kicks) and goal creation.

In case you didn't have the time or inclination to read the details, here's the upshot: Keeping in mind that teams scored on average 1.

Where Do Goals Come From? Shot Creation and Goals in the Premier League

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Goals don't just happen - they are made. Both on offense and defense, teams control how they deploy their resources (speak: players) on the pitch, and they make tactical choices about how to attack and defend. Some rely more on fast breaks, while others try to create or avoid chances from open play. So this means that goals are created and allowed.

Shots That Matter: Team Differences in Creating Chances From Fast Breaks in the EPL

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When Hernandez scored for Manchester United in the first minute of play against Chelsea today on a fast break after a beautiful pass from Park, it reminded me of the high value such shots have for teams. Mind you, these kinds of opportunities don't come along all that much in the average match: I have previously noted that teams actually create relatively few shots from fast breaks.

Shot Creation in the EPL: Team Differences in Shots From Open Play

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Here's another analysis of shot creation in the Premier League. This time, I'm looking into the creation of accurate shots from one specific kind of situation: open play.

From the earlier analyses, we already know the following basic facts from the first half of this year's EPL season, based on data from the Opta/Guardian chalkboards.

Shot Creation in the EPL: Team Differences in Shots From Open Play

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Here's another analysis of shot creation in the Premier League. This time, I'm looking into the creation of accurate shots from one specific kind of situation: open play.

From the earlier analyses, we already know the following basic facts from the first half of this year's EPL season, based on data from the Opta/Guardian chalkboards.

Team Differences in Shot Creation: The First Half of the 2010/11 EPL Season

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I've been spending a few posts looking at shot creation in the Premiership. One of the things I haven't spent much time on is differences across teams in in terms of who has been creating the most and least shots from different kinds of situations. These situations are open play, corners, free kicks, fast breaks, and penalties.

Team Differences in Shot Creation: The First Half of the 2010/11 EPL Season

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I've been spending a few posts looking at shot creation in the Premiership. One of the things I haven't spent much time on is differences across teams in in terms of who has been creating the most and least shots from different kinds of situations. These situations are open play, corners, free kicks, fast breaks, and penalties.

Which Shots Are More Likely To Be On Target? Accurate Shot Creation in the Premier League

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In an earlier post, I took a closer look at shot creation in the Premier League to see what number and proportion of shots are created from different match situations. The numbers, courtesy of the Opta/Guardian chalkboards and covering the first half of this year's EPL season, showed that most shots were generated from open play (11 on average per team/match).

Which Shots Are More Likely To Be On Target? Accurate Shot Creation in the Premier League

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In an earlier post, I examined shot creation in the Premier League to see what number and proportion of shots are created from different match situations. The numbers, courtesy of the Opta/Guardian chalkboards and covering the first half of this year's EPL season, showed that most shots were generated from open play (11 on average per team/match).

Shot Creation in the Premier League: Data From the 1st Half of the Season

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The fact that soccer scores are low compared to other team sports actually makes the game more exciting. After all, any one score, any one action or mistake on the field can make or break a team's day. Soccer's high stakes and the rare beauty of goals has a downside for analysts, however. In particular, the trouble with goals from an analysis perspective is that they are infrequent.

Shot Creation in the Premier League: Data From the 1st Half of the Season

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Soccer's relatively low scores compared to other team sports make the game exciting and agonizing at the same time. After all, any one score, any one action or mistake on the field can make or break a team's day. Soccer's high stakes and the rare beauty of goals have a downside for analysts, however.

Measuring A Football Team's Consistency: Some Data From the Premier League

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There has been lots of talk this year that Manchester United aren't playing the most beautiful or inspiring football, but that they owe their table position instead to playing well week in and week out. Really well, mind you, at least according to some of the metrics I've looked at, but they're not necessarily no.

Measuring A Football Team's (In)Consistency: Some Data From the Premier League

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There has been lots of talk this year that Manchester United aren't playing the most beautiful or inspiring football, but that they owe their table position instead to playing well week in and week out. Really well, mind you, at least according to some of the metrics I've looked at, but they're not necessarily no.

Shots and Conversion in the Big 4 Leagues: The 2010/11 Season To Date

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Since my last report about conversion and shot records for various teams in the EPL, I've been wondering how things were looking so far this season on the shot frequency/conversion front. But instead of analyzing one league at a time, I thought it'd be interesting to compare several leagues together.

Dimensions of Defensive Production: Degrading Opponents' Shot Frequency and Accuracy in the Premier League

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Following up on my post about shot creation versus shot conversion as measures of offensive production (see also the On Football post), here's a quick and dirty analysis of Premier League teams' ability to degrade opponents' shot frequency (measured by shots allowed) and shot accuracy (the ratio of shots on target to shots allowed).

Creating Chances v. Taking Them: The Premier League in 2009/10

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Ever since I started calculating shot to goal ratios as well as conversion and accuracy ratios of teams' offensive (and defensive) production, I've been concerned that these ratios do not tell the full story of what happens on the field. Conversion, you may remember, is the ratio of goals to shots on target - that is, how many of the high quality chances teams generated actually resulted in goals: how good teams are at finishing.

Opponents' Accuracy As A Measure of Defensive Production: The EPL Season at the Halfway Mark

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I have occasionally written about defensive production in terms of how many goals, shots, or shots on goal teams allow in a match. One of the best of these measures, so far as I can tell, is whether a team allows their opponents to place accurate shots on goal. If you think about it, allowing an opponent to shoot is one thing - anyone can sling the ball in the general direction of the other side - but only accurate shots have a chance of actually crossing the goal line.

goals

Back To Basics: Normal Football and Skewed Distributions

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On October 31, 2002, Madagascan side AS Adema cruised to an easy win against archrivals SOE (Olympique) Antananarivo. When all was said and done at the Stade Olympique I'Emyrne that day, Adema had won 149-0. No, that's not a typo. Adema managed one goal every 36 seconds of the match, except they also had close to zero percent possession of the ball.

Norwich, QPR, and Swansea: How Are the Promoted Clubs Faring This Year?

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Now that the January transfer window is closed, clubs are gearing up to be ready for the rest of the season. For promoted clubs in particular, the Premiership adventure has entered the second - and possibly last - half of the season. Whether they will be able to continue their adventure is anyone's guess, but judging from the league table, Norwich and Swansea look to be in a good position to stay up.

The Rest

All of the shots: Are the Union a bad attacking team… or what?

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The advanced metrics love the Union, but the results don't back that up so far. What's going on?

Weekly Football Phrase: Shots

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This week's English for football phrase post takes a look at some words in our glossary that describe shots.

Impressive Arsenal stats for Jenkinson and Arteta

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I know that stats are not the be all and end all of things but they can be interesting and give us some insight into the game. Arsenal fans have been impressed with the young right back Carl Jenkinson who has been standing in for Bacary Sagna, but even we might be surprised by some of the stats about the player.

Shots and Goals: An EPL Update of Offensive Production Through November

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Here's an update on offensive production in the EPL so far this year (using data as of Nov.28). First, take a look at goals and shots (shots taken and shots on target) per match played.
No real surprises on the the number of goals scored per match front. Man U, Arsenal, and Chelsea are right at the top at 2-2.