SEBA Projections

Philadelphia Union

Updated MLS, USL, and NWSL SEBA projections through April 23

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Updated MLS, USL, and NWSL SEBA projections through April 23

Updated MLS, USL, and NWSL SEBA projections through April 16

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Updated MLS, USL, and NWSL SEBA projections through April 16

Updated MLS and USL SEBA projections through April 9

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Updated MLS and USL SEBA projections through April 9

Updated MLS and USL SEBA projections through April 2

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Updated MLS and USL SEBA projections through April 2

Updated MLS, USL, and NWSL SEBA projections through March 26

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Updated MLS, USL, and NWSL SEBA projections through March 26

Updated MLS and USL SEBA projections through March 12

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* As I will be on vacation next week with limited access to my computer/programs, there will not be a new forecast next week. I will run it for over-time-graph purposes, but the next published forecast will be on the 29th. Below are the updated season forecasts using data [...]

Updated MLS SEBA projections through March 5

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Updated SEBA rankings & projections through March 5th, 2017

2017 initial SEBA projections

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Initial 2017 MLS projections, along with how the model has changed from last season and a re-introduction as to what it is.

Updated SEBA Projections through October 30

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Chris Sherman with updated SEBA projections.

Updated SEBA Projections through October 16

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Chris Sherman has updated SEBA projections for the Union.

Updated SEBA Projections through October 9

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The latest SEBA projections have the probability the Union will reach the playoffs at 96.3%.

Updated SEBA Projections through October 2

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Chris Sherman has updated SEBA projections for the Union following the loss at New York Red Bulls.

Updated SEBA Projections through September 25

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Chris Sherman has the latest SEBA projections for the Union.

Updated SEBA Projections through September 18

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Updated SEBA projections for the Union, Bethlehem Steel, and the City Islanders.

Updated SEBA Projections through September 11

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Welcome to the Statistical Extrapolation Bayesian Analyzer Projection System, which is, of course, a tortured gathering of wordsused to formthe SEBA Projection System. The system consists of a model projecting the probabilities of game results and then a barrage of simulations which account for the remaining luck.

Updated SEBA Projections through September 4

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Chris Sherman has updated SEBA projections for the Union, BEthlehem Steel, and City Islanders.

Updated SEBA Projections through August 28

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Updated SEBA projections for the Union, Bethlehem Steel, and the City Islanders.

Updated SEBA Projections through August 21

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Check out SEBA's predictions for the home stretch of the MLS season. Plus, expected points predictions for the Union's upcoming matches. Also, plenty of fascinating, updated predictions for USL and NWSL.

Updated SEBA Projections through August 14th

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Updated SEBA projections for Philadelphia Union, Bethlehem Steel, and Harrisburg City Islanders.

Updated SEBA Projections through August 7th

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Chris SHerman has updated SEBA projections for the Union, Bethlehem Steel, and the City Islanders.

SEBA Projections through July 31

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Chris Sherman has updated SEBA projections for Philadelphia Union, Bethlehem Steel, and City Islanders.

SEBA Projections through July 24

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Chris Sherman has updated SEBA projections for the Union, Bethlehem Steel, and the City Islanders.

SEBA Projections through July 17

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Chris Sherman has the latest SEBA projections for Philadelphia Union, Bethlehem Steel, and the City Islanders.

SEBA Projections through July 10

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Chris Sherman has updated SEBA projections for the Union, Bethlehem Steel, City Islanders, and more.

SEBA Projections through July 4

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Chris Sherman has updated SEBA projections for Philadelphia Union, Bethlehem Steel, City Islanders, and more.

SEBA Projections through June 26

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Updated SEBA projections for the Union, Bethlehem Steel, and City Islanders following last weekend's games.

SEBA Projections through June 19

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Updated SEBA projections for the Union, Bethlehem Steel, and the City Islanders.

SEBA Projections through June 12

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Because of the Copa America break, the focus of the MLS projections is on changes over time.

United States Men's National Team

Updated SEBA international forecasts through March 29

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SEBA World Cup Qualification, 2018 World Cup, and other updates on projections from matches between 3/26-3/29.

SEBA World Cup projections, qualification, and more projections

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World Cup projections, qualification, gold cup, every kind of cup forecast. Oh, and you will also find complaining about the FIFA rankings algorithm.

World Cup Qualification: SEBA-International Projections through November 16

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Chris Sherman has updated World Cup qualification SEBA projections following the latest round of qualifiers.

World Cup Qualification: SEBA-International Projections through November 13

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Chris Sherman has updated World Cup qualification projections following the US loss to Mexico in their opening game of the Hexagonal Round.

World Cup Qualification: SEBA-International Projections through November 6

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Chris Sherman has updated World Cup Qualification forecasts ahead of the upcoming international dates.

Copa America: SEBA-International Projections through June 22

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Updated SEBA projections ahead of the conclusion this weekend of the Copa America Centenario.

Copa America: SEBA-International Projections through June 19

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Updated Copa America Centenario SEBA projections ahead of the start of semifinal play.

U.S. Women's National Team

Summer Olympics SEBA Projection updates through August 13

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Updated SEBA projections for the women's soccer tournament at the Olympics.

Summer Olympics SEBA Projection updates through August 10

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Chris Sherman has updated SEBA projections for the USWNT at the Olympics.

Summer Olympics SEBA Projection Updates through August 7

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Updated SEBA projections for the USWNT at the Olympic tournament in Brazil.

Summer Olympics SEBA Projection Updates through August 3

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Updated SEBA projections for the USWNT at the Summer Games.

Summer Olympics SEBA Projections

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The USWNT's Olympic run in Brazil begins this week. Chris Shermann has SEBA projections to the team and the tournament.