MLS projections

Philadelphia Union

Updated MLS, USL, NWSL, and Gold Cup SEBA projections through July 16

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The USA moves on to the quarter-finals, and the U.S. Open Cup makes progress.

Updated MLS, USL, NWSL, and Gold Cup SEBA projections through July 9

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Philadelphia keeps pace with expectations, but still needs to over-perform to make a serious push at playoffs. Gold Cup projections are thrown in as a bonus for those interested.

Updated MLS, USL, and NWSL SEBA projections through July 2

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New SEBA projections. Union chances improve a little, but power ranking improves a lot, as the model still tries to figure out what to think of Philadelphia.

Updated MLS, USL, and NWSL SEBA projections through June 24

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Philadelphia's odds improve, but are still in a deep hole. Chicago stays on top.

Updated MLS, USL, and NWSL SEBA projections through June 18

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Philadelphia's playoffs chances continue to crash. Also, the USOC chances get bleak due to unlucky draw.

Updated MLS, USL, and NWSL SEBA projections through June 11

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Despite only a few games this week, Philadelphia's chances continue to decline a little bit.

Updated MLS, USL, and NWSL SEBA projections through June 4

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Chicago at the top of the power rankings. Philadelphia continues declining. They'll need to pull at least 7 points from the next three home matches to improve their playoffs outlook.

Updated MLS, USL, and NWSL SEBA projections through May 28

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Philadelphia moves up in power rankings but down in playoff chances. Toronto is back on top.

Updated MLS, USL, and NWSL SEBA projections through May 21

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Philadelphia moves up to 7th in SEBA's power rankings. NYCFC takes the top spot overall. USOC second round is complete with the fourth round draw decided.

Updated MLS, USL, and NWSL SEBA projections through May 14

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Philadelphia jumps up to 10th in Power Rankings. Toronto takes 1st. U.S. Open Cup 1st round is finished and the 3rd round draw is complete.

Updated MLS, USL, and NWSL SEBA projections through May 7

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Philadelphia climbs out of last in the power rankings and moves in the right direction towards improving playoff odds.

Updated MLS, USL, and NWSL SEBA projections through April 30

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Updated MLS, USL, and NWSL SEBA projections through April 30. Orlando takes over 1st place in power rankings. Philly needs to bank a win before it can move out of the cellar.

Updated MLS, USL, and NWSL SEBA projections through April 23

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Updated MLS, USL, and NWSL SEBA projections through April 23

Updated MLS, USL, and NWSL SEBA projections through April 16

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Updated MLS, USL, and NWSL SEBA projections through April 16

Updated MLS and USL SEBA projections through April 9

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Updated MLS and USL SEBA projections through April 9

Updated MLS and USL SEBA projections through April 2

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Updated MLS and USL SEBA projections through April 2

Updated MLS, USL, and NWSL SEBA projections through March 26

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Updated MLS, USL, and NWSL SEBA projections through March 26

Updated MLS and USL SEBA projections through March 12

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* As I will be on vacation next week with limited access to my computer/programs, there will not be a new forecast next week. I will run it for over-time-graph purposes, but the next published forecast will be on the 29th. Below are the updated season forecasts using data [...]

Updated MLS SEBA projections through March 5

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Updated SEBA rankings & projections through March 5th, 2017

2017 initial SEBA projections

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Initial 2017 MLS projections, along with how the model has changed from last season and a re-introduction as to what it is.