Santi Cazorla moved to Málaga at the beginning of the 2011-12 season. The fortunes of
Villarreal nose-dived culminating in relegation. Exactly the opposite happened at Málaga.
Relegation candidates in 2010-11, Málaga finished fourth in 2011-12, qualifying for the Champions
League for the first time in the history of the club.
Villarreal had a disastrous 2011-12 ending in an agonizing relegation to the 2nd division in the
dying minutes of the season. In 2010-11 Villarreal reached the semifinals of the Europa League and
finished 4th in La Liga to qualify for the Champions League. I focus on the performance of
Villarreal in the attacking third of the pitch in 2011 and compare it with that of 2010.
In this special podcast recorded for Forza Futbol, we have Simon Kuper, author of the recently
published Soccernomics 2nd edition.
Simon is also the author of "Football Against the Enemy", "Ajax, the Dutch, the
War" among others. Simon writes a weekly column in Financial Times.
In this special podcast I recorded for Forza Futbol, I talked to Professor Stefan Szymanski,
economist and author of the recently published Soccernomics 2nd edition. Stefan is a Professor of
Kinesiology at School of Kinesiology, University of Michigan and is an author of various books on
economics in sports.
Villarreal had a disastrous 2011-12. They are relegated to the Spanish Segunda Division in the
dying minutes of the season.
The obvious question was "What went wrong?"
The easy answers are the exit of Santi Cazorla and the long-term injury to Giuseppe Rossi. But
that doesn't fully explain how a team that featured in the Champions League group stage could get
relegated.
Club football seasons across most of Europe have ended. The lack of serious football (apart from
the Euro 2012 in a few weeks) means the off-field stuff like transfer rumors and player agents take
the center stage. Recent news items like the deal of Bebe to Manchester United highlight the
inefficiencies and the lack of transparency in the transfer market.
The astute reader will recognize the title of this post as a play on Edward Tufte's book of a
similar name. Â While Tufte's work focuses on turning quantitative data into an easily consumable
format that has a clear message, it's also important to do so with qualitative data. Â Qualitative
data can often be the "how" or "why" to go along with the "what" provided by quantitative data.
I'm pleased to announce that I've joined StatDNA as Vice President of Analytics and Software
Development. Â This is a super exciting opportunity for me as I'll be combining my loves of
software development, data analysis and soccer. Â What could be better? Â I'll hopefully have some
blog posts up for StatDNA over at their blog soon using their best in breed data.
There was an interesting article this morning on Soccernet about Robin Van Persie being in the
"injury red zone". Â Hyperbole aside, it raises the point that Arsenal have had the luxury of
playing Van Persie in every league match so far (starting 12 of 13) but will have to manage his
workload a little more conservatively or risk a decrease in performance or potential injury.
I'm always on the lookout for new ways to visualize data in the hopes that it might lead to a
better understanding of the data. Â In the first leg of the tie between Real Salt Lake and Seattle
Sounders FC, the Sounders midfield was completely MIA for large portions of the game while RSL
enjoyed large periods of maintaining possession.
There has been lots of talk about the goal glut that is happening in the Premier League right
now. Â Are pricey strikers to blame or is it the death of quality defense? Â Decision Technology's
Ian Graham has already taken a look at debunking the Guardian's piece on the "goal glut". Â I
thought I'd add my two cents.
It was rough being a Sounder's fan last night. Â Amidst discussions of a CONCACAF Champions
League curse, playing at altitude and missing one of their best players of the season in Mauro
Rosales, the Sounders had a tough playoff matchup against Real Salt Lake. Â While most fans would
have been surprised if the Sounders had come away with a first leg lead, going down 3-0 was a bit
of a shock.
During tonight's MLS Playoff match between the New York Red Bulls and FC Dallas, the "Curse of
CONCACAF Champions League" was brought up. Â FC Dallas has had to play more matches than NYRB this
season and came into the match looking a bit fatigued. Â Since the CONCACAF version isn't as
lucrative as the European version, it is getting the reputation as being a drain on teams.
Previously I've written about examining conversion rates and shots as a way of examining which
areas an offense or defense excels at or is struggling with. Shots can be a crude estimation for
opportunities and conversion rate and estimation of how well a team executes on those
opportunities. I had looked at offense and defense separately in the past, but decided to combine
the two to see if any interesting patterns emerged.